SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 49.96%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 26.72% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.72%) and 0-2 (7.74%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
26.72% ( 0.45) | 23.32% ( 0.22) | 49.96% ( -0.67) |
| Both teams to score 58.97% ( -0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.96% ( -0.62) | 42.04% ( 0.62) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.55% ( -0.63) | 64.45% ( 0.63) |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.02% ( 0.01) | 28.98% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.12% ( 0.01) | 64.88% ( -0.01) |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.03% ( -0.47) | 16.97% ( 0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.93% ( -0.85) | 47.06% ( 0.85) |
| Score Analysis |
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 2-1 @ 6.69% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 6.09% ( 0.17)2-0 @ 3.77% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 2.76% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.56% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.4% Total : 26.72% | 1-1 @ 10.8% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.14)3-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.32% | 1-2 @ 9.58% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 8.72% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 7.74% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 5.67% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 4.58% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 3.51% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 2.51% ( -0.09)0-4 @ 2.03% ( -0.07)2-4 @ 1.56% ( -0.05)Other @ 4.07% Total : 49.96% |
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