Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Godoy Cruz win with a probability of 56.75%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 15.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Godoy Cruz win was 1-0 with a probability of 19.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.6%) and 2-1 (7.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.57%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (8.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 19.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Godoy Cruz in this match.
-0.13) 
0.14) 
