As mentioned, both matches during the 2021-22 campaign were high-scoring affairs, but we are expecting this to be a tighter contest. Cases can be made for both teams to win it, but we have a feeling that the two sides will ultimately share the spoils at the end of the 90 minutes.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Granada win with a probability of 40.24%. A win for Mallorca had a probability of 30.12% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Granada win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.07%) and 2-1 (7.73%). The likeliest Mallorca win was 0-1 (11.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Granada would win this match.
0.25) 
-0.08) 
