SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 46.06%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for Granada had a probability of 24.58%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.78%) and 2-1 (8.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.96%), while for a Granada win it was 0-1 (10.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Alaves | Draw | Granada |
46.06% ( 1.31) | 29.36% ( 0.59) | 24.58% ( -1.89) |
| Both teams to score 39.89% ( -2.72) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.09% ( -2.7) | 65.91% ( 2.7) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.48% ( -1.91) | 84.52% ( 1.91) |
| Alaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.12% ( -0.63) | 28.88% ( 0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.25% ( -0.79) | 64.75% ( 0.79) |
| Granada Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.08% ( -3.3) | 43.92% ( 3.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.95% ( -2.84) | 80.06% ( 2.84) |
| Score Analysis |
| Alaves | Draw | Granada |
| 1-0 @ 15.75% ( 1.25) 2-0 @ 9.78% ( 0.62)2-1 @ 8.05% ( -0.21)3-0 @ 4.05% ( 0.19)3-1 @ 3.33% ( -0.15)3-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.2)4-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.07)Other @ 1.43% Total : 46.06% | 1-1 @ 12.96% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 12.68% ( 1.21)2-2 @ 3.31% ( -0.41)Other @ 0.4% Total : 29.35% | 0-1 @ 10.43% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 5.33% ( -0.55)0-2 @ 4.29% ( -0.36)1-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.31)0-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.22)2-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.21)Other @ 0.97% Total : 24.57% |
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