SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 40.2%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 34% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 1-0 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Hearts in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Hearts.
| Result | ||
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Hearts |
34% ( -0.34) | 25.79% ( 0.03) | 40.2% ( 0.31) |
| Both teams to score 54.6% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.44% ( -0.2) | 49.56% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.41% ( -0.18) | 71.58% ( 0.18) |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.16% ( -0.31) | 27.84% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.56% ( -0.39) | 63.44% ( 0.39) |
| Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.66% ( 0.07) | 24.33% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.27% ( 0.1) | 58.72% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Hearts |
| 1-0 @ 8.66% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.83% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 5.54% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 3.34% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 2.36% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.85% Total : 34% | 1-1 @ 12.24% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.77% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.79% | 0-1 @ 9.57% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 8.65% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 6.77% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 4.08% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 3.19% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.44% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 1.85% Total : 40.2% |
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