Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Paderborn win with a probability of 40.1%. A win for Greuther Furth had a probability of 36.31% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a SC Paderborn win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.92%) and 0-2 (5.61%). The likeliest Greuther Furth win was 2-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
0.19) 
-0.21) 
