Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Paderborn win with a probability of 53.56%. A win for Greuther Furth had a probability of 23.45% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a SC Paderborn win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest Greuther Furth win was 1-2 (6.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SC Paderborn would win this match.