SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 53.96%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 22.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.9%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 0-1 (6.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Grimsby Town | Draw | Harrogate Town |
53.96% ( -0.46) | 23.14% ( 0.35) | 22.91% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 55.43% ( -1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.18% ( -1.4) | 44.82% ( 1.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.82% ( -1.37) | 67.18% ( 1.37) |
| Grimsby Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.46% ( -0.66) | 16.54% ( 0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.7% ( -1.2) | 46.3% ( 1.21) |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.42% ( -0.67) | 33.58% ( 0.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.77% ( -0.74) | 70.23% ( 0.75) |
| Score Analysis |
| Grimsby Town | Draw | Harrogate Town |
| 1-0 @ 10% ( 0.38) 2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 8.99% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 5.89% ( -0.15)3-0 @ 5.39% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.14)4-1 @ 2.65% ( -0.13)4-0 @ 2.43% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.1)5-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.19% Total : 53.96% | 1-1 @ 10.9% ( 0.22) 0-0 @ 5.56% ( 0.33)2-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.13% | 0-1 @ 6.06% ( 0.25) 1-2 @ 5.95% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.31% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.28% Total : 22.91% |
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