SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 50.22%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 27.21% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.66%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 2-1 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crewe Alexandra would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
27.21% ( -0.08) | 22.57% ( 0.01) | 50.22% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 62.09% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.89% ( -0.09) | 38.11% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.62% ( -0.1) | 60.38% ( 0.1) |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.42% ( -0.1) | 26.58% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.2% ( -0.13) | 61.8% ( 0.14) |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.57% ( -0.01) | 15.43% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.74% ( -0.02) | 44.26% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
| 2-1 @ 6.73% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 3.6% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.97% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.59% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.21% Total : 27.21% | 1-1 @ 10.15% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.29% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.1% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.3% Total : 22.56% | 1-2 @ 9.49% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.66% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 7.16% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 5.91% ( 0)0-3 @ 4.46% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.92% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.76% 0-4 @ 2.09% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.83% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.03% Other @ 3.9% Total : 50.22% |
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