SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 50.26%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 26.74% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-2 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Grimsby Town in this match.
| Result | ||
| Grimsby Town | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
50.26% ( -0.08) | 23% ( 0.01) | 26.74% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 60.12% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.48% ( 0.04) | 40.52% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.1% ( 0.04) | 62.9% ( -0.04) |
| Grimsby Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.7% ( -0.02) | 16.29% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.14% ( -0.02) | 45.85% ( 0.03) |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.83% ( 0.08) | 28.17% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.14% ( 0.1) | 63.86% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Grimsby Town | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
| 2-1 @ 9.57% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.33% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.56% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.79% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.57% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.67% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.63% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.07% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.66% ( 0)5-1 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 3.47% Total : 50.26% | 1-1 @ 10.55% 2-2 @ 6.06% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.59% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.55% ( 0)Other @ 0.24% Total : 23% | 1-2 @ 6.68% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.81% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.68% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.62% Total : 26.74% |
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