Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 42.19%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 32.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.
-0.03) 
0) 
