Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 47.21%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 29.17% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 1-2 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
0.08) 
-0.12) 
