SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 44.4%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 31.6% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.17%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Groningen | Draw | FC Utrecht |
44.4% ( 0.07) | 24% ( -0.03) | 31.6% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 59.96% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.79% ( 0.13) | 42.21% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.38% ( 0.13) | 64.61% ( -0.13) |
| Groningen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.77% ( 0.08) | 19.23% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.06% ( 0.13) | 50.94% ( -0.13) |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.24% ( 0.04) | 25.76% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.3% ( 0.05) | 60.7% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Groningen | Draw | FC Utrecht |
| 2-1 @ 9.13% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.17% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 6.73% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.02% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.7% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.4% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.07% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.4% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.25% Total : 44.4% | 1-1 @ 11.07% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.19% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.95% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.99% | 1-2 @ 7.51% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.72% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.4% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.8% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.06% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.15% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 2.45% Total : 31.6% |
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