SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 41.32%. A win for Groningen had a probability of 34.66% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.61%) and 2-0 (6.08%). The likeliest Groningen win was 1-2 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Heerenveen in this match.
| Result | ||
| Heerenveen | Draw | Groningen |
41.32% ( -1.22) | 24.02% ( 0.26) | 34.66% ( 0.95) |
| Both teams to score 60.99% ( -0.7) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.67% ( -1.02) | 41.32% ( 1.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.28% ( -1.05) | 63.72% ( 1.04) |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.78% ( -0.97) | 20.22% ( 0.97) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.46% ( -1.57) | 52.54% ( 1.57) |
| Groningen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.45% ( 0.05) | 23.55% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.4% ( 0.08) | 57.6% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Heerenveen | Draw | Groningen |
| 2-1 @ 8.8% ( -0.11) 1-0 @ 7.61% ( 0.12)2-0 @ 6.08% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 4.69% ( -0.2)3-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.14)3-0 @ 3.24% ( -0.15)4-1 @ 1.87% ( -0.14)4-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.98% Total : 41.32% | 1-1 @ 11% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 6.36% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 4.76% ( 0.22)3-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.02% | 1-2 @ 7.96% ( 0.16) 0-1 @ 6.89% ( 0.33)0-2 @ 4.98% ( 0.24)1-3 @ 3.84% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.12)1-4 @ 1.39% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.04% Total : 34.66% |
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