SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 66.56%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Groningen had a probability of 14.18%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.1%), while for a Groningen win it was 0-1 (4.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ajax | Draw | Groningen |
66.56% ( -0.53) | 19.25% ( 0.18) | 14.18% ( 0.34) |
| Both teams to score 51.89% ( 0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.62% ( -0.07) | 41.37% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.22% ( -0.07) | 63.77% ( 0.07) |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.45% ( -0.16) | 11.54% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.53% ( -0.35) | 36.47% ( 0.35) |
| Groningen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.67% ( 0.45) | 41.33% ( -0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.15% ( 0.4) | 77.85% ( -0.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ajax | Draw | Groningen |
| 2-0 @ 11.12% ( -0.11) 1-0 @ 10.3% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 8% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 7.07% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 4.32% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 3.82% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.12% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 1.87% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.69% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.65% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.79% Total : 66.56% | 1-1 @ 9.1% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 4.77% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.34% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.12% Total : 19.25% | 0-1 @ 4.22% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 4.02% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.62% Total : 14.18% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
