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A
Eredivisie | Gameweek 8
Oct 6, 2024 at 3.45pm UK
Amsterdam ArenA
G

Ajax
3 - 1
Groningen

Klaassen (21'), Weghorst (90+1'), Akpom (90+4')
Sutalo (65'), Baas (73'), Godts (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Schreuders (69')
Resink (42'), Blokzijl (71')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Slavia Prague 1-1 Ajax
Thursday, October 3 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Groningen 0-1 Go Ahead Eagles
Sunday, September 29 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: Ajax 2-1 Groningen

Despite Ajax's lengthy injury list, they have maintained an excellent record at home this season, and given the visitors' recent results and historic performances in this fixture, we feel the hosts should be able to come away with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 66.56%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Groningen had a probability of 14.18%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.1%), while for a Groningen win it was 0-1 (4.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
AjaxDrawGroningen
66.56% (-0.52800000000001 -0.53) 19.25% (0.185 0.18) 14.18% (0.341 0.34)
Both teams to score 51.89% (0.308 0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.62% (-0.07 -0.07)41.37% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.22% (-0.073 -0.07)63.77% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.45% (-0.163 -0.16)11.54% (0.16 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.53% (-0.352 -0.35)36.47% (0.348 0.35)
Groningen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.67% (0.455 0.45)41.33% (-0.459 -0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.15% (0.396 0.4)77.85% (-0.399 -0.4)
Score Analysis
    Ajax 66.56%
    Groningen 14.18%
    Draw 19.25%
AjaxDrawGroningen
2-0 @ 11.12% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-0 @ 10.3% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.83% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
3-0 @ 8% (-0.132 -0.13)
3-1 @ 7.07% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-0 @ 4.32% (-0.1 -0.1)
4-1 @ 3.82% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.12% (0.027 0.03)
5-0 @ 1.87% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.69% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 1.65% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 66.56%
1-1 @ 9.1% (0.083 0.08)
0-0 @ 4.77% (0.014 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.34% (0.065 0.07)
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 19.25%
0-1 @ 4.22% (0.066 0.07)
1-2 @ 4.02% (0.086 0.09)
0-2 @ 1.86% (0.051 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.28% (0.034 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.18% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 14.18%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Slavia Prague 1-1 Ajax
Thursday, October 3 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 0-2 Ajax
Sunday, September 29 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Ajax 4-0 Besiktas
Thursday, September 26 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Go Ahead Eagles 1-1 Ajax
Saturday, September 21 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Ajax 5-0 Sittard
Wednesday, September 18 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Ajax 3-0 Jagiellonia
Thursday, August 29 at 7pm in Europa League
Last Game: Groningen 0-1 Go Ahead Eagles
Sunday, September 29 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Heerenveen 2-1 Groningen
Sunday, September 22 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Last Game: Groningen 2-2 Feyenoord
Saturday, September 14 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Almere City 1-1 Groningen
Saturday, August 31 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Groningen 0-0 AZ
Sunday, August 25 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 1-2 Groningen
Saturday, August 17 at 8pm in Eredivisie


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