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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 52.29%. A win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 24.64% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Go Ahead Eagles win was 1-2 (6.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Groningen | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
52.29% ( 0.73) | 23.07% ( -0.09) | 24.64% ( -0.64) |
| Both teams to score 57.74% ( -0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.27% ( -0.18) | 42.72% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.87% ( -0.17) | 65.13% ( 0.17) |
| Groningen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.62% ( 0.2) | 16.37% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.99% ( 0.36) | 46% ( -0.35) |
| Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.04% ( -0.61) | 30.96% ( 0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.74% ( -0.72) | 67.26% ( 0.72) |
| Score Analysis |
| Groningen | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
| 2-1 @ 9.73% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 9.17% ( 0.13)2-0 @ 8.3% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 5.87% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 5.01% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.66% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 2.26% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 1.56% ( 0)5-1 @ 0.96% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.34% Total : 52.29% | 1-1 @ 10.75% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.71% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 5.07% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.06% | 1-2 @ 6.31% ( -0.12) 0-1 @ 5.94% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.85% Total : 24.64% |
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