SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 40.32%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 35.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.73%) and 2-0 (6.02%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Heerenveen | Draw | FC Utrecht |
40.32% ( 0.01) | 24.24% ( -0.16) | 35.43% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 60.35% ( 0.62) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.76% ( 0.79) | 42.23% ( -0.79) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.36% ( 0.79) | 64.64% ( -0.79) |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.93% ( 0.35) | 21.06% ( -0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.12% ( 0.54) | 53.87% ( -0.54) |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.45% ( 0.45) | 23.54% ( -0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.4% ( 0.65) | 57.6% ( -0.65) |
| Score Analysis |
| Heerenveen | Draw | FC Utrecht |
| 2-1 @ 8.7% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.73% ( -0.19)2-0 @ 6.02% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 4.52% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.27% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 3.12% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.76% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.27% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.73% Total : 40.32% | 1-1 @ 11.17% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 6.29% ( 0.08)0-0 @ 4.96% ( -0.18)3-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.24% | 1-2 @ 8.08% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.17% ( -0.16)0-2 @ 5.19% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 3.9% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 3.03% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.41% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 0.9% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.15% Total : 35.43% |
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