Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 63.02%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Roda JC had a probability of 17.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.56%) and 1-0 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.16%), while for a Roda JC win it was 1-2 (4.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Groningen would win this match.
-0.08) 
0.03) 
