Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 38.3%. A win for Emmen had a probability of 36.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.29%). The likeliest Emmen win was 1-0 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Groningen would win this match.
0.05) 
-0.01) 
