SM
| Current League B Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Saint Kitts and Nevis | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Saint Lucia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Guadeloupe | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Sint Maarten | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League A Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Panama | 4 | 7 | 10 |
| 2 | Trinidad and Tobago | 4 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Martinique | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 4 | Guatemala | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 5 | Curacao | 4 | -1 | 3 |
| 6 | El Salvador | 4 | -4 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guadeloupe win with a probability of 81.1%. A draw had a probability of 12.7% and a win for Martinique had a probability of 6.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guadeloupe win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.84%) and 1-0 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.06%), while for a Martinique win it was 0-1 (2.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Guadeloupe | Draw | Martinique |
81.1% ( 1.17) | 12.74% ( -0.73) | 6.16% ( -0.44) |
| Both teams to score 43.14% ( 0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.45% ( 1.78) | 35.55% ( -1.78) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.4% ( 1.94) | 57.6% ( -1.94) |
| Guadeloupe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.27% ( 0.62) | 6.73% ( -0.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 75.11% ( 1.65) | 24.89% ( -1.65) |
| Martinique Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 46.25% ( -0.04) | 53.75% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12.88% ( -0.03) | 87.12% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Guadeloupe | Draw | Martinique |
| 2-0 @ 13.17% ( -0.28) 3-0 @ 11.84% ( 0.14)1-0 @ 9.76% ( -0.54)2-1 @ 8.18% ( -0.18)4-0 @ 7.99% ( 0.36)3-1 @ 7.36% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 4.96% ( 0.22)5-0 @ 4.32% ( 0.33)5-1 @ 2.68% ( 0.2)3-2 @ 2.28% ( 0.02)6-0 @ 1.94% ( 0.21)4-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.07)6-1 @ 1.21% ( 0.13)Other @ 3.87% Total : 81.09% | 1-1 @ 6.06% ( -0.35) 0-0 @ 3.62% ( -0.33)2-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.53% Total : 12.74% | 0-1 @ 2.25% ( -0.21) 1-2 @ 1.88% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.03% Total : 6.16% |
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