Guinea-Bissau will be licking their lips as they take on a struggling Eswatini side who have failed to win their last six matches across all competitions. Morte's men have won the last two meetings between the two nations, and given the gulf in quality and experience between the two nations, we are backing them to come away with all three points.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eswatini win with a probability of 47.25%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Guinea-Bissau had a probability of 24.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eswatini win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.92%) and 1-2 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.85%), while for a Guinea-Bissau win it was 1-0 (9.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Guinea-Bissau would win this match.
-0.03) 
0.01) 
