SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Equatorial Guinea | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Ivory Coast | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Nigeria | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Equatorial Guinea | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Ivory Coast | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Nigeria | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 70.48%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Guinea-Bissau had a probability of 11.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.75%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.69%), while for a Guinea-Bissau win it was 0-1 (3.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Ivory Coast in this match.
| Result | ||
| Ivory Coast | Draw | Guinea-Bissau |
70.48% ( 1.65) | 18.27% ( -0.91) | 11.25% ( -0.74) |
| Both teams to score 46.34% ( 0.57) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.89% ( 2.09) | 44.11% ( -2.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.51% ( 2) | 66.49% ( -2) |
| Ivory Coast Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.72% ( 1.05) | 11.28% ( -1.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.11% ( 2.24) | 35.89% ( -2.25) |
| Guinea-Bissau Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.23% ( 0.02) | 47.77% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.94% ( 0.02) | 83.06% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ivory Coast | Draw | Guinea-Bissau |
| 2-0 @ 12.82% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 11.75% ( -0.58)2-1 @ 9.48% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 9.33% ( 0.32)3-1 @ 6.9% ( 0.24)4-0 @ 5.09% ( 0.38)4-1 @ 3.76% ( 0.28)3-2 @ 2.55% ( 0.09)5-0 @ 2.22% ( 0.25)5-1 @ 1.64% ( 0.19)4-2 @ 1.39% ( 0.11)Other @ 3.53% Total : 70.46% | 1-1 @ 8.69% ( -0.42) 0-0 @ 5.39% ( -0.51)2-2 @ 3.5% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.69% Total : 18.27% | 0-1 @ 3.98% ( -0.37) 1-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.15)0-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.14)Other @ 2.6% Total : 11.25% |
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