Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 39.13%. A win for Guingamp had a probability of 34.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Guingamp win was 1-0 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
-0.28) 
0.77) 
