Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 56.52%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Rodez AF had a probability of 19.69%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.71%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for a Rodez AF win it was 0-1 (6.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Auxerre would win this match.
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