SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hajduk Split win with a probability of 67.5%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for NK Lokomotiva had a probability of 12.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hajduk Split win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.27%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.36%), while for a NK Lokomotiva win it was 0-1 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hajduk Split would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hajduk Split | Draw | NK Lokomotiva |
67.5% ( -0.1) | 19.7% ( 0) | 12.8% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 46.51% ( 0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.48% ( 0.2) | 46.52% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.21% ( 0.19) | 68.79% ( -0.19) |
| Hajduk Split Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.2% ( 0.03) | 12.8% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.89% ( 0.07) | 39.11% ( -0.07) |
| NK Lokomotiva Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.34% ( 0.27) | 46.66% ( -0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.77% ( 0.21) | 82.23% ( -0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hajduk Split | Draw | NK Lokomotiva |
| 2-0 @ 12.62% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 12.27% ( -0.09)2-1 @ 9.62% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 8.65% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 6.59% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 4.45% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.39% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 1.83% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.39% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.88% Total : 67.49% | 1-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.97% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 3.67% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.71% Total : 19.7% | 0-1 @ 4.55% ( -0) 1-2 @ 3.57% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 1.74% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.1% Total : 12.8% |
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