SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SJK win with a probability of 46.8%. A win for Haka had a probability of 30.17% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a SJK win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.4%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Haka win was 2-1 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SJK would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Haka | Draw | SJK |
30.17% ( -0.16) | 23.03% ( -0.02) | 46.8% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 62.67% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.69% ( 0.02) | 38.31% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.41% ( 0.02) | 60.59% ( -0.02) |
| Haka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.27% ( -0.09) | 24.73% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.71% ( -0.13) | 59.29% ( 0.13) |
| SJK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.26% ( 0.08) | 16.74% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.35% ( 0.13) | 46.65% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Haka | Draw | SJK |
| 2-1 @ 7.22% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 5.78% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 4.04% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.36% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.88% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.65% Total : 30.17% | 1-1 @ 10.33% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.45% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.14% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.79% ( -0)Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.02% | 1-2 @ 9.24% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.4% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.61% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 5.51% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 3.94% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 3.85% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.46% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.76% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.72% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.31% Total : 46.8% |
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