Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 63.18%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Jahn Regensburg had a probability of 16.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.73%) and 1-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.22%), while for a Jahn Regensburg win it was 1-2 (4.69%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamburger SV would win this match.
Result | ||
Hamburger SV | Draw | Jahn Regensburg |
63.18% ( 0.66) | 19.89% ( -0.19) | 16.92% ( -0.47) |
Both teams to score 56.39% ( -0.33) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.27% ( 0.04) | 38.72% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.97% ( 0.04) | 61.03% ( -0.04) |
Hamburger SV Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.32% ( 0.19) | 11.68% ( -0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.24% ( 0.41) | 36.75% ( -0.41) |
Jahn Regensburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.85% ( -0.51) | 36.15% ( 0.52) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.07% ( -0.53) | 72.93% ( 0.53) |
Score Analysis |
Hamburger SV | Draw | Jahn Regensburg |
2-1 @ 9.9% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.73% ( 0.13) 1-0 @ 9.07% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 7.09% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 6.97% ( 0.15) 4-1 @ 3.81% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 3.74% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.94% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.64% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 1.61% ( 0.06) Other @ 4.09% Total : 63.18% | 1-1 @ 9.22% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.04% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 4.22% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.18% Total : 19.89% | 1-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 4.3% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.45% Total : 16.92% |
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