Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 40.32%. A win for Hammarby had a probability of 36.03% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.01%) and 0-2 (5.68%). The likeliest Hammarby win was 2-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
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