SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zhejiang Professional win with a probability of 57.7%. A win for Wuhan Three Towns had a probability of 21.78% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zhejiang Professional win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.67%) and 1-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Wuhan Three Towns win was 1-2 (5.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zhejiang Professional would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Zhejiang Professional | Draw | Wuhan Three Towns |
57.7% ( 0) | 20.52% ( -0) | 21.78% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 63.15% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.05% ( 0.02) | 33.96% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.19% ( 0.03) | 55.81% ( -0.02) |
| Zhejiang Professional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.29% ( 0.01) | 11.71% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.18% ( 0.02) | 36.82% ( -0.01) |
| Wuhan Three Towns Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.52% ( 0.02) | 28.48% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.75% ( 0.02) | 64.25% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zhejiang Professional | Draw | Wuhan Three Towns |
| 2-1 @ 9.63% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.67% ( -0)1-0 @ 7.15% ( -0)3-1 @ 6.89% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.48% ( -0)3-2 @ 4.33% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.69% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.94% 4-2 @ 2.32% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.59% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.26% ( 0)5-2 @ 1% ( 0)4-3 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 2.78% Total : 57.7% | 1-1 @ 8.98% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.05% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.33% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.81% ( 0)Other @ 0.34% Total : 20.52% | 1-2 @ 5.64% 0-1 @ 4.19% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.63% 2-3 @ 2.53% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.36% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 3.33% Total : 21.78% |
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