SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 46.67%. A win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger had a probability of 28.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win was 0-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wuhan Three Towns would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wuhan Three Towns | Draw | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger |
46.67% ( 0.51) | 24.87% ( -0.16) | 28.46% ( -0.35) |
| Both teams to score 55.11% ( 0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.25% ( 0.48) | 47.75% ( -0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.06% ( 0.44) | 69.94% ( -0.44) |
| Wuhan Three Towns Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.49% ( 0.42) | 20.51% ( -0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.99% ( 0.66) | 53.01% ( -0.66) |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.34% ( -0.01) | 30.66% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.09% ( -0) | 66.91% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wuhan Three Towns | Draw | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger |
| 1-0 @ 9.96% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 7.89% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 4.93% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 4.17% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 2.91% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.95% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.72% Total : 46.67% | 1-1 @ 11.77% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 6.29% ( -0.13)2-2 @ 5.51% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.87% | 0-1 @ 7.44% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 6.96% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.02% Total : 28.46% |
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