SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 39.5%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 35.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.1%) and 2-0 (6.08%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 1-2 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Harrogate Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Colchester United |
39.5% ( 0.11) | 24.66% ( 0.01) | 35.84% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 58.89% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.84% ( -0.07) | 44.16% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.46% ( -0.07) | 66.54% ( 0.06) |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.7% ( 0.03) | 22.3% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.24% ( 0.04) | 55.76% ( -0.04) |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.79% ( -0.1) | 24.21% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.45% ( -0.14) | 58.55% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Colchester United |
| 2-1 @ 8.62% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.1% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.31% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.06% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.04% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.62% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.38% Total : 39.5% | 1-1 @ 11.49% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.12% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.4% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.66% | 1-2 @ 8.15% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.66% 0-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.85% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.99% Total : 35.84% |
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