SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 42.92%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 32.63% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 2-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Crawley Town in this match.
| Result | ||
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Crawley Town |
32.63% ( -0.15) | 24.45% ( -0.03) | 42.92% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 58.8% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.08% ( 0.12) | 43.92% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.7% ( 0.12) | 66.31% ( -0.11) |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.04% ( -0.03) | 25.96% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.04% ( -0.05) | 60.97% ( 0.05) |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.42% ( 0.13) | 20.59% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.88% ( 0.21) | 53.12% ( -0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Crawley Town |
| 2-1 @ 7.68% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.21% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 4.86% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.45% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.73% 3-0 @ 2.19% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 2.43% Total : 32.63% | 1-1 @ 11.39% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.07% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.34% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.45% | 1-2 @ 9% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 8.45% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.68% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.74% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 3.52% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.2% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.87% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.39% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.81% Total : 42.92% |
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