Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 49.81%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 25.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.56%) and 0-2 (8.54%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-0 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.
Result | ||
Harrogate Town | Draw | MK Dons |
25.79% ( -0.72) | 24.4% ( 0.39) | 49.81% ( 0.33) |
Both teams to score 54.46% ( -1.93) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.4% ( -2.24) | 47.6% ( 2.24) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.2% ( -2.1) | 69.8% ( 2.1) |
Harrogate Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.36% ( -1.75) | 32.64% ( 1.76) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.81% ( -2.01) | 69.19% ( 2.01) |
MK Dons Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.85% ( -0.73) | 19.15% ( 0.74) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.21% ( -1.23) | 50.79% ( 1.23) |
Score Analysis |
Harrogate Town | Draw | MK Dons |
1-0 @ 7% ( 0.32) 2-1 @ 6.48% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 3.92% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.42% ( -0.18) 3-2 @ 2% ( -0.2) 3-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.52% Total : 25.79% | 1-1 @ 11.56% ( 0.26) 0-0 @ 6.25% ( 0.56) 2-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.27) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.4% | 0-1 @ 10.33% ( 0.71) 1-2 @ 9.56% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.54% ( 0.4) 1-3 @ 5.27% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 4.71% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.22) 1-4 @ 2.18% ( -0.11) 0-4 @ 1.95% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.12) Other @ 3.12% Total : 49.81% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups: