Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 41.44%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 32.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 0-1 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Hartlepool United | Draw | Rochdale |
41.44% ( 0.15) | 25.83% ( -0.01) | 32.72% ( -0.15) |
Both teams to score 54.13% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.99% ( 0.01) | 50% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.01% ( 0.01) | 71.98% ( -0.01) |
Hartlepool United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.09% ( 0.08) | 23.9% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.89% ( 0.12) | 58.1% ( -0.12) |
Rochdale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.13% ( -0.09) | 28.86% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.27% ( -0.11) | 64.72% ( 0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Hartlepool United | Draw | Rochdale |
1-0 @ 9.87% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.78% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.19% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.37% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.6% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.5% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 1.92% Total : 41.44% | 1-1 @ 12.26% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.9% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.46% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.82% | 0-1 @ 8.57% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.62% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.33% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.16% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.6% Total : 32.72% |
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