Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Henan win with a probability of 51.08%. A win for Wuhan Three Towns had a probability of 25.18% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Henan win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Wuhan Three Towns win was 0-1 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Henan | Draw | Wuhan Three Towns |
51.08% ( 1.01) | 23.73% ( -0.17) | 25.18% ( -0.85) |
Both teams to score 56.06% ( -0.3) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.79% | 45.2% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.45% ( -0) | 67.54% ( -0.01) |
Henan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.26% ( 0.38) | 17.73% ( -0.39) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.6% ( 0.66) | 48.39% ( -0.67) |
Wuhan Three Towns Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.14% ( -0.68) | 31.85% ( 0.68) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.7% ( -0.79) | 68.29% ( 0.78) |
Score Analysis |
Henan | Draw | Wuhan Three Towns |
1-0 @ 9.77% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 9.67% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.21) 3-1 @ 5.58% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 4.87% ( 0.18) 3-2 @ 3.19% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.41% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 2.11% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 1.38% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.66% Total : 51.08% | 1-1 @ 11.17% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 5.65% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.73% | 0-1 @ 6.46% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 6.39% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.67% Total : 25.18% |
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