SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Rongcheng win with a probability of 65.96%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Henan had a probability of 14.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Rongcheng win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.19%), while for a Henan win it was 0-1 (4.28%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chengdu Rongcheng would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chengdu Rongcheng | Draw | Henan |
65.96% ( -0.15) | 19.45% ( 0.05) | 14.59% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 52.3% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.62% ( 0.01) | 41.37% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.22% ( 0.01) | 63.77% ( -0.02) |
| Chengdu Rongcheng Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.29% ( -0.04) | 11.71% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.18% ( -0.08) | 36.82% ( 0.08) |
| Henan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.24% ( 0.16) | 40.75% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.66% ( 0.14) | 77.34% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chengdu Rongcheng | Draw | Henan |
| 2-0 @ 10.97% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 10.23% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 7.85% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 7.04% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 4.21% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 3.78% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.16% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.81% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.7% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.62% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.74% Total : 65.95% | 1-1 @ 9.19% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.77% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.42% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 19.45% | 0-1 @ 4.28% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.12% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 1.92% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.71% Total : 14.59% |
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