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Chinese Super League | Gameweek 10
May 4, 2024 at 1pm UK
Zhengzhou Hanghai Stadium
TJ

Henan
1 - 2
Tianjin Jinmen

Liu (14')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Hao (63'), Pengfei (78')
Skoric (66'), Pengfei (82'), Fang (90+7')
Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Henan and Tianjin Jinmen Tiger.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Zhejiang 4-1 Henan
Tuesday, April 30 at 1pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Tianjin Jinmen 0-1 Beijing Guoan
Tuesday, April 30 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Henan win with a probability of 43.1%. A win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger had a probability of 30.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Henan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win was 0-1 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
HenanDrawTianjin Jinmen Tiger
43.1% (-1.517 -1.52) 26.35% (0.186 0.19) 30.54% (1.326 1.33)
Both teams to score 51.6% (0.111 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.12% (-0.179 -0.18)52.88% (0.172 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.51% (-0.153 -0.15)74.49% (0.14699999999999 0.15)
Henan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.65% (-0.821 -0.82)24.34% (0.815 0.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.26% (-1.171 -1.17)58.73% (1.165 1.17)
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.21% (0.873 0.87)31.79% (-0.878 -0.88)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.77% (0.989 0.99)68.22% (-0.995 -1)
Score Analysis
    Henan 43.1%
    Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 30.54%
    Draw 26.35%
HenanDrawTianjin Jinmen Tiger
1-0 @ 10.93% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-1 @ 8.85% (-0.149 -0.15)
2-0 @ 7.73% (-0.322 -0.32)
3-1 @ 4.17% (-0.172 -0.17)
3-0 @ 3.64% (-0.243 -0.24)
3-2 @ 2.39% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.47% (-0.098 -0.1)
4-0 @ 1.29% (-0.119 -0.12)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 43.1%
1-1 @ 12.53% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 7.74% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.07% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
3-3 @ 0.91% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.35%
0-1 @ 8.87% (0.27 0.27)
1-2 @ 7.18% (0.22 0.22)
0-2 @ 5.08% (0.271 0.27)
1-3 @ 2.74% (0.147 0.15)
0-3 @ 1.94% (0.147 0.15)
2-3 @ 1.94% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 30.54%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Zhejiang 4-1 Henan
Tuesday, April 30 at 1pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Cangzhou 2-3 Henan
Friday, April 26 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Henan 1-0 Qingdao Hainiu
Sunday, April 21 at 12pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Henan 1-1 Nantong Zhiyun
Saturday, April 13 at 8.30am in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Shandong 2-2 Henan
Tuesday, April 9 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Henan 0-2 Sichuan
Friday, April 5 at 12pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Tianjin Jinmen 0-1 Beijing Guoan
Tuesday, April 30 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Wuhan TT 2-1 Tianjin Jinmen
Friday, April 26 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Zhejiang 3-2 Tianjin Jinmen
Friday, April 19 at 1pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Tianjin Jinmen 0-0 Meizhou Hakka
Sunday, April 14 at 12pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Qingdao Youth Island 1-3 Tianjin Jinmen
Wednesday, April 10 at 12pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Tianjin Jinmen 2-3 Chengdu
Saturday, April 6 at 8.30am in Chinese Super League


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