SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Henan win with a probability of 43.1%. A win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger had a probability of 30.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Henan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win was 0-1 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Henan | Draw | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger |
43.1% ( -1.52) | 26.35% ( 0.19) | 30.54% ( 1.33) |
| Both teams to score 51.6% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.12% ( -0.18) | 52.88% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.51% ( -0.15) | 74.49% ( 0.15) |
| Henan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.65% ( -0.82) | 24.34% ( 0.82) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.26% ( -1.17) | 58.73% ( 1.17) |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.21% ( 0.87) | 31.79% ( -0.88) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.77% ( 0.99) | 68.22% ( -1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Henan | Draw | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger |
| 1-0 @ 10.93% ( -0.19) 2-1 @ 8.85% ( -0.15)2-0 @ 7.73% ( -0.32)3-1 @ 4.17% ( -0.17)3-0 @ 3.64% ( -0.24)3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 1.29% ( -0.12)Other @ 2.63% Total : 43.1% | 1-1 @ 12.53% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 7.74% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 5.07% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.35% | 0-1 @ 8.87% ( 0.27) 1-2 @ 7.18% ( 0.22)0-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.27)1-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.15)0-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.15)2-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.79% Total : 30.54% |
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