Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 42.25%. A win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 30.1% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Scunthorpe United win was 0-1 (9.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Hereford United | Draw | Scunthorpe United |
42.25% ( 0.01) | 27.65% ( -0.01) | 30.1% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 47.56% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.04% ( 0.03) | 57.95% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.34% ( 0.03) | 78.65% ( -0.03) |
Hereford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.91% ( 0.02) | 27.09% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.53% ( 0.03) | 62.47% ( -0.03) |
Scunthorpe United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.23% ( 0.02) | 34.77% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.5% ( 0.02) | 71.5% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Hereford United | Draw | Scunthorpe United |
1-0 @ 12.3% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.49% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.03% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.7% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.5% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.95% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.21% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 1.94% Total : 42.25% | 1-1 @ 12.99% 0-0 @ 9.42% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.48% ( 0) Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.64% | 0-1 @ 9.95% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.86% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.26% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.42% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.85% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.58% ( 0) Other @ 2.18% Total : 30.1% |
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