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National League North | Gameweek 20
Nov 21, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Silverlands
Buxton
2 - 1
Hereford
Burrow (40'), Hull (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Cowley (60')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Buxton and Hereford United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Buxton 1-2 Farsley Celtic
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 4-1 Banbury
Tuesday, November 14 at 7.45pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 57.53%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Hereford United had a probability of 20.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.64%), while for a Hereford United win it was 0-1 (5.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Buxton would win this match.

Result
BuxtonDrawHereford United
57.53% (1.437 1.44) 22.47% (-0.633 -0.63) 20.01% (-0.802 -0.8)
Both teams to score 53.45% (0.791 0.79)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.57% (1.666 1.67)45.43% (-1.664 -1.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.23% (1.569 1.57)67.77% (-1.569 -1.57)
Buxton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.47% (1.075 1.08)15.53% (-1.073 -1.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.54% (1.963 1.96)44.46% (-1.962 -1.96)
Hereford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.28% (0.133 0.13)36.72% (-0.13200000000001 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.49% (0.132 0.13)73.51% (-0.131 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Buxton 57.52%
    Hereford United 20.01%
    Draw 22.47%
BuxtonDrawHereford United
1-0 @ 10.62% (-0.36 -0.36)
2-1 @ 9.91% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
2-0 @ 9.89% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.15% (0.258 0.26)
3-0 @ 6.14% (0.236 0.24)
3-2 @ 3.08% (0.14 0.14)
4-1 @ 2.86% (0.219 0.22)
4-0 @ 2.86% (0.209 0.21)
4-2 @ 1.43% (0.114 0.11)
5-1 @ 1.07% (0.117 0.12)
5-0 @ 1.07% (0.113 0.11)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 57.52%
1-1 @ 10.64% (-0.32 -0.32)
0-0 @ 5.7% (-0.416 -0.42)
2-2 @ 4.96% (0.049 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.03% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.47%
0-1 @ 5.71% (-0.395 -0.4)
1-2 @ 5.33% (-0.144 -0.14)
0-2 @ 2.86% (-0.187 -0.19)
1-3 @ 1.78% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.66% (0.022 0.02)
0-3 @ 0.96% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 20.01%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Buxton 1-2 Farsley Celtic
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: South Shields 1-0 Buxton
Tuesday, November 7 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Bishop's Stortford 3-1 Buxton
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Buxton 2-1 Tamworth
Tuesday, October 31 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Buxton 2-2 Rushall Olympic
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Buxton 2-2 P'boro Sports
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 4-1 Banbury
Tuesday, November 14 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Boston 1-0 Hereford
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 1-0 Brackley Town
Tuesday, November 7 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 0-2 Gillingham
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Chorley 1-2 Hereford
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Alfreton 3-1 Hereford
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in National League North
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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe21134446192743
2Tamworth20132535142141
3South Shields21106535211436
4Brackley Town229672719833
5Hereford UnitedHereford2210392629-333
6Curzon AshtonCurzon Ashton199552516932
7Chorley1987431201131
8Chester FCChester199462316731
9Spennymoor TownSpennymoor209473232031
10Alfreton TownAlfreton198563224829
11Scarborough AthleticScarborough Ath199282724329
12Boston UnitedBoston218582223-129
13SouthportSouthport218492433-928
14Blyth Spartans217683229327
15Buxton207583022826
16Warrington Town207582628-226
17Farsley CelticFarsley Celtic206861823-526
18Peterborough SportsP'boro Sports207492229-725
19Banbury UnitedBanbury197481627-1125
20Rushall Olympic2266102833-524
21King's Lynn TownKing's Lynn215792436-1222
22Darlington2037101743-2616
23Gloucester CityGloucester City1935111729-1214
24Bishop's StortfordBishop's Stortford2142151945-2614
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