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National League North | Gameweek 18
Nov 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Jakemans Stadium
Boston
1 - 0
Hereford
Knowles (37')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Boston United and Hereford United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Farsley Celtic 2-0 Boston
Tuesday, November 7 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 1-0 Brackley Town
Tuesday, November 7 at 7.45pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston United win with a probability of 48.7%. A win for Hereford United had a probability of 26.12% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boston United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest Hereford United win was 0-1 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Boston United in this match.

Result
Boston UnitedDrawHereford United
48.7% (0.00099999999999767 0) 25.17% (-0.032 -0.03) 26.12% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 52.34% (0.124 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.46% (0.152 0.15)50.54% (-0.154 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.54% (0.134 0.13)72.46% (-0.13800000000001 -0.14)
Boston United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.23% (0.060000000000002 0.06)20.77% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.58% (0.098999999999997 0.1)53.41% (-0.102 -0.1)
Hereford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.06% (0.105 0.11)33.94% (-0.108 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.38% (0.113 0.11)70.62% (-0.116 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Boston United 48.7%
    Hereford United 26.12%
    Draw 25.17%
Boston UnitedDrawHereford United
1-0 @ 11.08% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.41% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.71% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.93% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.56% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.66% (0.015 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.94% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.79% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.05% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 48.7%
1-1 @ 11.97% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.05% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.08% (0.018 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.96% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.17%
0-1 @ 7.62% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.47% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.12% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 2.33% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.83% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.48% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 26.12%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Farsley Celtic 2-0 Boston
Tuesday, November 7 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Spennymoor 0-0 Boston
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Boston 1-1 Scunthorpe
Tuesday, October 31 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Boston 1-0 Gloucester City
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Boston 1-2 Banbury
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 3-1 Boston
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 1-0 Brackley Town
Tuesday, November 7 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 0-2 Gillingham
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Chorley 1-2 Hereford
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Alfreton 3-1 Hereford
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 3-1 Curzon Ashton
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: South Shields 0-0 Hereford
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in National League North

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