SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston United win with a probability of 48.7%. A win for Hereford United had a probability of 26.12% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest Hereford United win was 0-1 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Boston United in this match.
| Result | ||
| Boston United | Draw | Hereford United |
48.7% ( 0) | 25.17% ( -0.03) | 26.12% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 52.34% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.46% ( 0.15) | 50.54% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.54% ( 0.13) | 72.46% ( -0.14) |
| Boston United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.23% ( 0.06) | 20.77% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.58% ( 0.1) | 53.41% ( -0.1) |
| Hereford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.06% ( 0.11) | 33.94% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.38% ( 0.11) | 70.62% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Boston United | Draw | Hereford United |
| 1-0 @ 11.08% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.41% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.71% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.93% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.56% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.66% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.94% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.79% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.58% Total : 48.7% | 1-1 @ 11.97% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.05% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.17% | 0-1 @ 7.62% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.47% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.12% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.48% ( 0)Other @ 2.28% Total : 26.12% |
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