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National League North | Gameweek 19
Nov 14, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Edgar Street Athletic Ground
Hereford
4 - 1
Banbury
Cowley (11'), Rooney (41'), Freemantle (72'), Nalatche Mendes (90+5')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Charles (48' pen.)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Hereford United and Banbury United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Boston 1-0 Hereford
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Tamworth 1-2 Banbury
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 48.79%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Banbury United had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.63%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.52%), while for a Banbury United win it was 0-1 (8.69%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hereford United would win this match.

Result
Hereford UnitedDrawBanbury United
48.79% (0.573 0.57) 26.71% (-0.237 -0.24) 24.5% (-0.338 -0.34)
Both teams to score 46.41% (0.342 0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.44% (0.596 0.6)57.56% (-0.6 -0.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.66% (0.471 0.47)78.34% (-0.473 -0.47)
Hereford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.33% (0.52799999999999 0.53)23.67% (-0.532 -0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.22% (0.755 0.75)57.78% (-0.758 -0.76)
Banbury United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.8% (0.024999999999999 0.02)39.2% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.09% (0.026 0.03)75.91% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Hereford United 48.78%
    Banbury United 24.5%
    Draw 26.71%
Hereford UnitedDrawBanbury United
1-0 @ 13.36% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-0 @ 9.63% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
2-1 @ 9.02% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
3-0 @ 4.63% (0.108 0.11)
3-1 @ 4.33% (0.104 0.1)
3-2 @ 2.03% (0.05 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.67% (0.064 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.56% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 48.78%
1-1 @ 12.52% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 9.28% (-0.214 -0.21)
2-2 @ 4.23% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 26.71%
0-1 @ 8.69% (-0.195 -0.2)
1-2 @ 5.86% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-2 @ 4.07% (-0.088 -0.09)
1-3 @ 1.83% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.32% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.27% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 24.5%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Boston 1-0 Hereford
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 1-0 Brackley Town
Tuesday, November 7 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 0-2 Gillingham
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Chorley 1-2 Hereford
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Alfreton 3-1 Hereford
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 3-1 Curzon Ashton
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Tamworth 1-2 Banbury
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Banbury 0-2 Scunthorpe
Tuesday, November 7 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Southport 0-1 Banbury
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Boston 1-2 Banbury
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: P'boro Sports 2-0 Banbury
Saturday, October 14 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Banbury 0-0 Blyth Spartans
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in National League North

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