Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 40.72%. A win for Brackley Town had a probability of 31.79% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Brackley Town win was 0-1 (10.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hereford United in this match.

Result
Hereford United	Draw	Brackley Town
40.72% ( -3.64)	27.49% ( -0.78)	31.79% ( 4.42)

Both teams to score 48.66% (

4.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.14% (

4.32)

56.86% (

-4.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.22% (

3.34)

77.78% (

-3.35)

Hereford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.59% (

0.08)

27.4% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.12% (

0.1)

62.88% (

-0.11)

Brackley Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.04% (

5.74)

32.96% (

-5.74)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.45% (

5.89)

69.54% (

-5.9)

Score Analysis

Hereford United 40.72%

Brackley Town 31.78%

Draw 27.48%

Hereford United	Draw	Brackley Town
1-0 @ 11.69% ( -2.04) 2-1 @ 8.4% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.57% ( -1.3) 3-1 @ 3.62% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.27% ( -0.55) 3-2 @ 2.01% ( 0.29) 4-1 @ 1.17% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.18) Other @ 1.94% Total : 40.72%	1-1 @ 12.97% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 9.03% ( -1.6) 2-2 @ 4.66% ( 0.66) Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.48%	0-1 @ 10.02% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 7.2% ( 1.01) 0-2 @ 5.56% ( 0.77) 1-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.71) 0-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.54) 2-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.46) Other @ 2.55% Total : 31.78%