Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 40.72%. A win for Brackley Town had a probability of 31.79% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Brackley Town win was 0-1 (10.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hereford United in this match.
Result | ||
Hereford United | Draw | Brackley Town |
40.72% ( -3.64) | 27.49% ( -0.78) | 31.79% ( 4.42) |
Both teams to score 48.66% ( 4.21) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.14% ( 4.32) | 56.86% ( -4.32) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.22% ( 3.34) | 77.78% ( -3.35) |
Hereford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.59% ( 0.08) | 27.4% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.12% ( 0.1) | 62.88% ( -0.11) |
Brackley Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.04% ( 5.74) | 32.96% ( -5.74) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.45% ( 5.89) | 69.54% ( -5.9) |
Score Analysis |
Hereford United | Draw | Brackley Town |
1-0 @ 11.69% ( -2.04) 2-1 @ 8.4% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.57% ( -1.3) 3-1 @ 3.62% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.27% ( -0.55) 3-2 @ 2.01% ( 0.29) 4-1 @ 1.17% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.18) Other @ 1.94% Total : 40.72% | 1-1 @ 12.97% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 9.03% ( -1.6) 2-2 @ 4.66% ( 0.66) Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.48% | 0-1 @ 10.02% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 7.2% ( 1.01) 0-2 @ 5.56% ( 0.77) 1-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.71) 0-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.54) 2-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.46) Other @ 2.55% Total : 31.78% |
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