SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 50.67%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 25.98% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Hearts win was 1-2 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hibernian | Draw | Hearts |
50.67% ( -0.42) | 23.35% ( 0.2) | 25.98% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 58.15% ( -0.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.18% ( -0.72) | 42.81% ( 0.71) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.78% ( -0.71) | 65.22% ( 0.71) |
| Hibernian Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83% ( -0.42) | 16.99% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.89% ( -0.75) | 47.11% ( 0.74) |
| Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.05% ( -0.21) | 29.95% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.94% ( -0.25) | 66.06% ( 0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hibernian | Draw | Hearts |
| 2-1 @ 9.64% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 9.02% ( 0.16)2-0 @ 7.99% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 5.69% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 4.72% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.43% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 2.52% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 2.09% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.05)Other @ 4.03% Total : 50.67% | 1-1 @ 10.87% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 5.81% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 5.09% ( 0.16)3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.35% | 1-2 @ 6.56% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 6.14% ( 0.16)0-2 @ 3.7% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 2.64% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.13% Total : 25.98% |
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