Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HNK Rijeka win with a probability of 74.73%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Gorica had a probability of 8.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a HNK Rijeka win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14%) and 3-0 (11.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.9%), while for a Gorica win it was 0-1 (3.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HNK Rijeka would win this match.

Result
HNK Rijeka	Draw	Gorica
74.73% ( -0.13)	17.1% ( 0.13)	8.16% ( -0)

Both teams to score 38.25% (

-0.38)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.77% (

-0.54)

48.23% (

0.53)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.62% (

-0.49)

70.38% (

0.49)

HNK Rijeka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.72% (

-0.18)

11.28% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.11% (

-0.4)

35.89% (

0.4)

Gorica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

43.11% (

-0.34)

56.89% (

0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

11.02% (

-0.2)

88.98% (

0.19)

Score Analysis

HNK Rijeka 74.72%

Gorica 8.16%

Draw 17.1%

HNK Rijeka	Draw	Gorica
2-0 @ 15.27% ( 0.11) 1-0 @ 14% ( 0.21) 3-0 @ 11.11% 2-1 @ 8.62% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 6.27% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 6.06% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 3.42% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 2.65% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.49% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.03) 6-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.13% Total : 74.72%	1-1 @ 7.9% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.42% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.36% Total : 17.1%	0-1 @ 3.62% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 1.29% Total : 8.16%