SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Kiev win with a probability of 46.08%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 33.26% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Kiev win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.7%) and 2-3 (5.12%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 2-1 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hoffenheim | Draw | Dynamo Kiev |
33.26% ( 0.12) | 20.66% ( 0.76) | 46.08% ( -0.88) |
| Both teams to score 73.51% ( -2.98) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 75.1% ( -3.75) | 24.9% ( 3.75) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 55.21% ( -5.07) | 44.79% ( 5.07) |
| Hoffenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.43% ( -1.78) | 16.56% ( 1.77) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.66% ( -3.29) | 46.34% ( 3.29) |
| Dynamo Kiev Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.1% ( -1.66) | 11.9% ( 1.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.77% ( -3.65) | 37.22% ( 3.65) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hoffenheim | Draw | Dynamo Kiev |
| 2-1 @ 6.78% ( 0.48) 3-2 @ 4.33% ( -0.25)3-1 @ 4.06% ( 0.05)1-0 @ 3.54% ( 0.65)2-0 @ 3.19% ( 0.42)4-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.24)3-0 @ 1.91% ( 0.15)4-1 @ 1.83% ( -0.09)4-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.28)Other @ 4.3% Total : 33.26% | 1-1 @ 7.54% ( 0.95) 2-2 @ 7.22% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.41)0-0 @ 1.97% ( 0.46)Other @ 0.86% Total : 20.66% | 1-2 @ 8.03% ( 0.51) 1-3 @ 5.7% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 5.12% ( -0.33)0-2 @ 4.47% ( 0.53)0-1 @ 4.19% ( 0.74)0-3 @ 3.17% ( 0.18)1-4 @ 3.03% ( -0.22)2-4 @ 2.73% ( -0.38)0-4 @ 1.69% ( -0.02)3-4 @ 1.63% ( -0.35)1-5 @ 1.29% ( -0.19)2-5 @ 1.16% ( -0.26)Other @ 3.88% Total : 46.08% |
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