SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 45.78%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 30.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.41%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Union Berlin in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Union Berlin.
| Result | ||
| Union Berlin | Draw | Hoffenheim |
45.78% ( 0.24) | 23.93% ( -0.15) | 30.28% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 59.48% ( 0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.46% ( 0.65) | 42.54% ( -0.65) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.06% ( 0.64) | 64.94% ( -0.64) |
| Union Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.21% ( 0.36) | 18.79% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.8% ( 0.59) | 50.2% ( -0.59) |
| Hoffenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.24% ( 0.27) | 26.76% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.96% ( 0.34) | 62.04% ( -0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Union Berlin | Draw | Hoffenheim |
| 2-1 @ 9.26% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.41% ( -0.15)2-0 @ 7.03% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 5.16% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 3.92% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.4% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 2.16% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.42% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.39% Total : 45.78% | 1-1 @ 11.08% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 6.11% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 5.03% ( -0.15)3-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.93% | 1-2 @ 7.3% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.63% ( -0.14)0-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 3.21% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.11% Total : 30.28% |
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