SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 49.29%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 27.89% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.76%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hoffenheim | Draw | Werder Bremen |
49.29% ( 1.69) | 22.82% ( -0) | 27.89% ( -1.68) |
| Both teams to score 61.77% ( -1.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.21% ( -1.14) | 38.79% ( 1.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.9% ( -1.21) | 61.1% ( 1.22) |
| Hoffenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84% ( 0.18) | 16% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.68% ( 0.33) | 45.32% ( -0.33) |
| Werder Bremen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.54% ( -1.68) | 26.46% ( 1.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.36% ( -2.29) | 61.64% ( 2.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hoffenheim | Draw | Werder Bremen |
| 2-1 @ 9.45% ( 0.17) 1-0 @ 7.76% ( 0.46)2-0 @ 7.11% ( 0.46)3-1 @ 5.77% ( 0.14)3-0 @ 4.34% ( 0.31)3-2 @ 3.84% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 2.65% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 1.99% ( 0.15)4-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.66% Total : 49.29% | 1-1 @ 10.31% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 6.28% ( -0.19)0-0 @ 4.23% ( 0.22)3-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.13)Other @ 0.29% Total : 22.81% | 1-2 @ 6.86% ( -0.25) 0-1 @ 5.63% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 3.74% ( -0.16)1-3 @ 3.04% ( -0.27)2-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.23)0-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.16)1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.14)2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.12)Other @ 2.24% Total : 27.89% |
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