SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Iran | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | United Arab Emirates | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Palestine | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 4 | Hong Kong | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hong Kong win with a probability of 45.86%. A win for Palestine had a probability of 27.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hong Kong win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest Palestine win was 0-1 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Palestine would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hong Kong | Draw | Palestine |
45.86% ( -0.26) | 26.32% ( 0.09) | 27.82% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 50.16% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.98% ( -0.26) | 54.02% ( 0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.55% ( -0.22) | 75.45% ( 0.22) |
| Hong Kong Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.5% ( -0.23) | 23.5% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.46% ( -0.34) | 57.54% ( 0.34) |
| Palestine Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.57% ( -0.01) | 34.43% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.85% ( -0.01) | 71.15% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hong Kong | Draw | Palestine |
| 1-0 @ 11.71% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.05% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 8.49% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4.37% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 4.1% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.58% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.48% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.76% Total : 45.86% | 1-1 @ 12.49% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 8.09% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.32% | 0-1 @ 8.63% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 6.66% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.6% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.21% Total : 27.82% |
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