Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | United Arab Emirates | 2 | 2 | 4 |
2 | Iran | 1 | 3 | 3 |
3 | Palestine | 2 | -3 | 1 |
4 | Hong Kong | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hong Kong win with a probability of 36.63%. A win for Iran had a probability of 36.08% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hong Kong win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.98%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Iran win was 0-1 (10.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Iran would win this match.
Result | ||
Hong Kong | Draw | Iran |
36.63% ( -0.02) | 27.29% ( 0.07) | 36.08% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 49.99% ( -0.23) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.47% ( -0.28) | 55.53% ( 0.28) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.3% ( -0.23) | 76.7% ( 0.23) |
Hong Kong Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.87% ( -0.15) | 29.13% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.94% ( -0.18) | 65.06% ( 0.19) |
Iran Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.54% ( -0.17) | 29.46% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.53% ( -0.21) | 65.46% ( 0.21) |
Score Analysis |
Hong Kong | Draw | Iran |
1-0 @ 10.58% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 7.98% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.53% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.28% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.68% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.01% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.56% Total : 36.62% | 1-1 @ 12.93% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.58% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.29% | 0-1 @ 10.48% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 7.9% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.41% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.22% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.48% Total : 36.07% |
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