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HL
Championship | Gameweek 30
Feb 3, 2024 at 3pm UK
KCOM Stadium
ML

Hull City
1 - 0
Millwall

FT(HT: 1-0)

Wallace (48'), De Norre (82')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Millwall 1-1 Preston
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Hull City 2-1 Millwall

Even without several key players, particularly going forward, Hull City boast plenty of quality in their ranks, and on the back of a confidence-boosting win away at Sunderland and a weekend away from the action, we fancy them to strengthen their playoff claim with a home triumph at the weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 45.62%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 28.2% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hull City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Hull City.

Result
Hull CityDrawMillwall
45.62% (0.839 0.84) 26.18% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05) 28.2% (-0.795 -0.79)
Both teams to score 50.84% (-0.351 -0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.74% (-0.221 -0.22)53.25% (0.218 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.19% (-0.187 -0.19)74.81% (0.185 0.19)
Hull City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.71% (0.30200000000001 0.3)23.29% (-0.304 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.78% (0.439 0.44)57.22% (-0.44 -0.44)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.27% (-0.72199999999999 -0.72)33.73% (0.72 0.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.61% (-0.793 -0.79)70.39% (0.791 0.79)
Score Analysis
    Hull City 45.62%
    Millwall 28.2%
    Draw 26.18%
Hull CityDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 11.44% (0.2 0.2)
2-1 @ 9.06% (0.061 0.06)
2-0 @ 8.34% (0.218 0.22)
3-1 @ 4.4% (0.068 0.07)
3-0 @ 4.05% (0.141 0.14)
3-2 @ 2.39% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.6% (0.039 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.48% (0.064 0.06)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 45.62%
1-1 @ 12.44% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.85% (0.067 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.93% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.18%
0-1 @ 8.54% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
1-2 @ 6.76% (-0.149 -0.15)
0-2 @ 4.64% (-0.145 -0.15)
1-3 @ 2.45% (-0.103 -0.1)
2-3 @ 1.78% (-0.059 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.68% (-0.087 -0.09)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 28.2%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Sunderland 0-1 Hull City
Friday, January 19 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 2-1 Hull City
Tuesday, January 16 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Hull City 1-2 Norwich
Friday, January 12 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 1-1 Birmingham
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Sheff Weds 3-1 Hull City
Monday, January 1 at 5.15pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 3-2 Blackburn
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 1-1 Preston
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 2-0 Millwall
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 1-3 Middlesbrough
Saturday, January 13 at 3.15pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 2-3 Leicester
Saturday, January 6 at 12.30pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Bristol City 0-1 Millwall
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 1-0 Norwich
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in Championship


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